Blog

Long-form analysis from STRecon scrape data. What the calendars are actually saying, market by market.

• May 16, 2026

  DC Weekenders and the Shenandoah Divide

  1,140 Shenandoah Ridge cabins scraped. 83.7% sit in Avoid. Only 6.0% pass 75/55. Drive time from DC is the only signal that survives — and the market splits cleanly into a weekender belt and a deep-mountain orphan zone.

• May 4, 2026

  Is Alexandria, VA a good Airbnb market? The buy box is narrow.

  419 Alexandria, VA Airbnbs scraped. 11.5% pass 75/55. Solo operators outbook 10+ portfolios 2-to-1, the Metro 1-mile rule is the sharpest single cutoff, and the 5+ BR big-house bet fails at 2.6%.

• April 25, 2026

  Hoboken & Jersey City Airbnbs Are Priced for a Guest Who Isn't Coming

  517 Hoboken & Jersey City Airbnbs scraped. 17.2% pass 75/55, 70.4% sit in Avoid. The golden zone is PATH-walkable and waterfront-side, the over-stuffed 3BR is a regulated trap, and the failing listings are priced for a guest who books a Manhattan hotel instead.

• April 24, 2026

  DC's winning Airbnb formula: rowhouse, Capitol Hill or 14th Street, owner-occupied

  1,030 DC Airbnbs scraped. 12.3% pass 75/55. The ones that do are nearly identical to each other — a rowhouse, on Capitol Hill or 14th Street, owned by the person who lives there.

• April 22, 2026

  The Nashville Airbnb Market Isn't Broken. 80% of Listings Are.

  4,077 Nashville Airbnbs scraped. 79.7% landed in our Avoid tier. Three patterns separate the top 1% from the failing majority — and four anti-patterns predict which listings will fail.